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Written by Pokerscene
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Sunday, 23 March 2008 |
Texas Hold’em – Some Interesting Odds to Consider
Your Two hole Cards
Your two hole cards dealt | Odds Against | Percent Chance | Chance of getting a specific pair
(such as aces): | 220 to 1 | Less then 1 %
(0.45 % ) | Chance of getting ANY pair: | 16 to 1 | 6.25 % | Chance of getting AK suited: | 331 to 1 | Less then 1 %
(0.30 % ) | Chance of getting AK unsuited: | 110 to 1 | Less then 1 %
(0.91 %) | Chance that any one person will be dealt an ACE (10 players): | | | Chance of a starting hand with a pair or no card lower than a ten | 4.4 to 1 | 22.72 % | Chance of a starting hand with a pair or no card lower than a queen | 20 to 1 | 5 % |
For the Flop (first 3 cards dealt up) Hand with first 3 card flop | Odds Against | Percent Chance | Chance an ACE with the flop (if one person already has an Ace). Watch for this! | 6 to 1 | 16.66 % | Chance of Flopping a set if you start with a pocket pair: | 8 to 1 | 12.5 % | Odds of flopping a flush if you hold two suited cards: | 20 to 1 | 5 % | Chance of flopping one pair if do not have before flop | 2.1 to 1 | 47.62 % |
Keep in mind that flopping a small pair is not usually a good situation and will typically cost you more bets than you will make in the long run. Ideally you want to flop top pair and have a good kicker to play the hand with confidence. After the Flop with TWO more cards to come Cards you have after three card flop | What you need | Odds against making hand | Percent chance against making hand | Four suited Cards | One more Suited Card to make a flush | 1.9 to 1 | 52.63 % | Three suited cards | Two more cards of same suit you require | 4.2 to 1 | 23.80 % | Open end straight draw | One of the two end cards to make the straight | 2.2 to 1 | 45.45 % | Inside Straight draw | The one card that fits inside to make the straight | 5 to 1 | 20 % |
As we can see from the odds above, if you have four cards to a flush or an open-ended straight draw, the odds are approximately 2 to 1 you will not get the card you need to complete your hand. However, if the odds are 2 to 1 and the pot is giving you 10 to 1 odds from the size of the bet, you should definitely call to see the last two cards. By knowing the odds of making a hand compared to the pot size you have a better chance of being a big winner in the game of poker.
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Last Updated ( Saturday, 29 March 2008 )
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